Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025973 0.027976 0.029992 0.032169 0.034451 0.036769 0.039300
2025-12-28 0.022706 0.025880 0.029191 0.032890 0.036895 0.041088 0.045799
2026-01-04 0.020378 0.024201 0.028295 0.032978 0.038162 0.043698 0.050034
2026-01-11 0.018482 0.022751 0.027426 0.032883 0.039034 0.045711 0.053466
2026-01-18 0.017405 0.022093 0.027325 0.033533 0.040636 0.048447 0.057627
2026-01-25 0.016076 0.021033 0.026669 0.033463 0.041347 0.050124 0.060551
2026-02-01 0.014940 0.020114 0.026101 0.033426 0.042035 0.051726 0.063351
2026-02-08 0.013908 0.019252 0.025539 0.033340 0.042618 0.053169 0.065939
2026-02-15 0.012963 0.018438 0.024984 0.033215 0.043116 0.054481 0.068352
2026-02-22 0.012149 0.017738 0.024526 0.033168 0.043674 0.055840 0.070801
2026-03-01 0.011261 0.016896 0.023850 0.032818 0.043836 0.056709 0.072656
2026-03-08 0.010288 0.015893 0.022928 0.032122 0.043544 0.057007 0.073815
2026-03-15 0.009273 0.014819 0.021917 0.031335 0.043179 0.057281 0.075033
2026-03-22 0.008931 0.014642 0.022059 0.032010 0.044638 0.059781 0.078959
2026-03-29 0.008385 0.014150 0.021760 0.032099 0.045348 0.061361 0.081771
2026-04-05 0.007813 0.013588 0.021341 0.032005 0.045810 0.062623 0.084193
2026-04-12 0.007556 0.013458 0.021488 0.032644 0.047193 0.065020 0.088002
2026-04-19 0.007066 0.012962 0.021115 0.032575 0.047660 0.066274 0.090409
2026-04-26 0.006623 0.012509 0.020779 0.032539 0.048153 0.067552 0.092844
2026-05-03 0.006195 0.012055 0.020421 0.032454 0.048571 0.068727 0.095145
2026-05-10 0.005785 0.011604 0.020048 0.032331 0.048925 0.069812 0.097332
2026-05-17 0.005425 0.011212 0.019741 0.032285 0.049369 0.071005 0.099652
2026-05-24 0.005005 0.010696 0.019233 0.031941 0.049403 0.071664 0.101295